Exchange Rate Pass-through in India's Export Prices

Jump To References Section

Authors

  • ,IN

Keywords:

Exchange Rate Pass-Through, India, Pricing to Market

Abstract

This paper discusses the concept of exchange rate pass-through (ERPT) in export prices. Exchange rate variations affect international price-competitiveness of exports and their profitability in domestic currency terms. ERPT for exports refers to the degree to which exchange rate changes affect prices of traded goods measured in importer's currency, i.e., whether changes in exchange rates are passed on to foreign consumers or absorbed by exporters, to retain market shares, by maintaining stable prices in international markets. The choice depends on the assumptions regarding the international market structure and product differentiation. Magnitude and speed of pass-through helps understand the relation between exchange rate changes and its impact on trade balance. In this paper, we estimate the ERPT for Indian aggregate non-oil exports and find low pass-through over the long period between 1960-2007. The magnitude increases slightly in the post-1991 period in the wake of competitive currency adjustments by many developing countries. It can thus be argued that currency adjustments alone cannot bring about an adjustment in current balance. There is a need to pay attention to commodity mix and aspects of non-price competitiveness to improve shares in world exports.

Downloads

Download data is not yet available.

Metrics

Metrics Loading ...

Downloads

Published

2018-05-17

How to Cite

Satyal, A. (2018). Exchange Rate Pass-through in India’s Export Prices. Journal of Business Thought, 4, 17–37. Retrieved from https://informaticsjournals.com/index.php/jbt/article/view/21235

Issue

Section

Articles
Received 2018-05-17
Accepted 2018-05-17
Published 2018-05-17

 

References

Athukorala, P. (1991), "Exchange Rate Pass-Through, The Case of Korean Exports of Manufactures”, Economic Letters, No. 35, pp. 79-84.

Athukorala, P. and J.Menon (1994), "Pricing to Market Behaviour and Exchange Rate Pass-through in Japanese Exports”, Economic Journal, Vol. 104, March, pp. 271-281.

Baldwin, R.E. (1988), "Hysteresis in Import Prices: The Beachhead Effect”, American Economic Review, Vol. 78, pp. 773-785.

Branson, W. H. (1972), "The Trade Effects of the 1971 Currency Realignments”, Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, No. 1, pp. 15-70.

Choudhri, E.U., H.Faruqee and D.S.Hakura (2005), "Explaining the Exchange Rate Pass-through in Different Prices”, Journal of International Prices, Vol. 65, No. 2, March, pp. 349-374.

Corsetti, G. and L.Dedola (2005), "A Macroeconomic Model of International Price Discrimination”, Journal of International Economics, Vol. 67, No.1, September, pp. 129-155.

Dornbusch, R. (1987), "Exchange Rate and Prices”, American Economic Review, Vol. 77, No. 1, pp.

-106.

Dunn, R.M. (1970), "Flexible Exchange Rates and Oligopoly Pricing: A Study of Canadian Markets”, Journal of Political Economy, Vol. 78, pp. 140-151.

EXIM Bank (1991), "How Import-Intensive are Indian Exports?”, Export-Import Bank of India Occasional Paper, No. 16, December.

Feinberg, R.M. (1986), "The Inter-Action of Foreign Exchange and Market Power Effects on German Domestic Prices”, Journal of Industrial Economics, Vol. 35, pp. 61-70.

Froot, K.A. and P.Klemperer (1989), "Exchange Rate Pass-Through when Market Share Matters”,B. and A.Kato (2006), "Import-Penetration and Price-Cost Margins in Indian Manufacturing Industries”, Institute of Economic Growth Working Paper, No. E/271/2006.

Goldar, B. and S.C.Aggarwal (2004), "Trade Liberalisation and Price-Cost Margin in Indian Industries”, ICRIER Working Paper, No. 130.

Goldberg, P.K. and M.M.Knetter (1997), "Goods Prices and Exchange Rates: What have We Learned?”, Journal of Economic Literature, Vol. 35, No. 3, September, pp. 1243-1272.

Goldstein, M. and M.S.Khan (1985), "Income and Price Effects in Foreign Trade”, in R.W.Jones and P.B.Kenen (eds.), Handbook of International Economics, Vol. 2, North-Holland, Amsterdam.

Granger, C.W.J. and R.F.Engle (1987), "Cointegration and Error Correction: Representation, Estimation and Testing”, Econometrica, Vol. 55, No. 2, March, pp. 251-276.

Hooper, P. and C.L.Mann, (1989), "Exchange Rate Pass-Through in the 1980s: The Case of US Imports of Manufactures”, Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, No. 1, pp. 297-337.

Johansen, S. (1988), "Statistical Analysis of Cointegrating Vectors”, Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Vol. 12, pp. 231-254.

Joshi, V. and I.M.D.Little (1994), Macroeconomics and Political Economy, 1964-1991, Oxford University Press.

Joshi, V. and I.M.D.Little (1993), "Future Trade and Exchange Rate Policy for India”, Economic and Political Weekly, July 31, pp. 1599-1605.

Kaldor, N. (1978), "The Effect of Devaluation on Trade in Manufactures”, in N.Kaldor, Further Essays on Applied Economics, Duckworth, London.

Knetter, M.M. (1993), "International Comparisons of Pricing-to-Market Behaviour”, American Economic Review, Vol. 83, No.3, pp. 473-486.

Krugman, P.R. (1987), "Pricing to Market when the Exchange Rate Changes”, in S.W.Arndt and J.D.Richardson (eds.), Real Financial Linkages in Among Open Economics, MIT Press, Cambridge.

Mann, C.L. (1986), "Prices, Profit Margins and Exchange Rates”, Federal Reserve Bulletin, No. 72, June, pp. 366-379.

Marston, R.C. (1990), "Pricing to Market in Japanese Manufacturing”, Journal of International Economics, Vol. 29, pp. 217-236.

Mejean, I. (2004), "Exchange Rate Movements and Export Prices: An Empirical Analysis”, August,CREST and EUREQua, University of Paris.

Menon, J. (1992), "Exchange Rates and Prices of Australian Manufactured Exports”, Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv, Vol. 128, No. 4, pp. 695-710.

Nayyar, D. (1988), "India's Export Performance, 1970-85: Underlying Factors and Constraints”, in R.E.B.Lucas and G.F.Papanek (eds.), The Indian Economy, Oxford University Press, Delhi.

Ohno, K. (1989), "Export Pricing Behaviour of Manufacturing: A US-Japan Comparison”, International Monetary Fund Staff Papers, Vol. 36, September.

Orcutt, G. (1950), "Measurement of Price Elasticities in International Trade”, Review of Economics and Statistics, No. 32, pp. 117-132.

Pradhan, H.K. (1993), "Exchange Rate Policy of India 1970-92”, Export Import Bank of India Occasional Paper, No. 22, May.

Rajaraman, I. (1991), "Impact of Real Exchange Rate Movements on Selected Industrial Exports”, Economic and Political Weekly, Annual Number, March, pp. 669-678.

Rajaraman, I. (1993), "Real Exchange Rate Movements of the Indian Rupee: Impact on Selected Commodity Exports”, UNCTAD Review, No. 4, pp. 117-135.

Rangan, S., R.Z.Lawrence. and R.N.Cooper (1993), "The Responses of US Firms to Exchange Rate Fluctuations: Piercing the Corporate Veil”, Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, Vol. 1993, No. 2, pp. 341-379.

Sathe, D. (1997), "Import-Intensity of India's Exports-Some Fresh Evidence”, Economic and Political Weekly, Vol. 32, No. 8, pp. M31-M44.

Sathe, D. (1995), "Impact of Diversification of Composition of Exports: An Analysis of the Linkages of Indian Exports”, Indian Economic Journal, Vol. 42, No.3, pp. 114-130.

Sarkar, P. (1992), "Rupee Depreciation and India's External Trade and Payments since 1971”, Economic and Political Weekly, June 13-20, pp. 1259-1266.

Sarkar, P. (1994a), "India's Balance of Payments and Exchange Rate Behaviour since 1971: A New Approach”, Economic and Political Weekly, January 19, pp. 43-48.

Sarkar, P. (1994b), "Exchange Rate and Balance of Trade”, Economic and Political Weekly, Vol. 29, No. 35, August 27, pp. 2310

Sen, P. (1986), "The 1966 Devaluation in India: A Reappraisal”, Economic and Political Weekly, Vol.

, No. 30, July 26, pp. 1322-1329.

Sen, S. and H.Mukhopadhayay (1994), Devaluation, Liberalisation and the Structural Linkages between India's Foreign Trade and National Income, Mimeo, June.

Sen, S. (1994), "Dimensions of India's External Economic Crisis”, Economic and Political Weekly, April 2, pp. 805-812.

Spitaller, E. (1980), "Short-Run Effects of Exchange Rate Changes on Terms of Trade and Trade Balance”, International Monetary Fund Staff Papers, Vol. 27, June, pp. 320-348.

Swamy, D.S. (1994), The Political Economy of Industrialisation: From Self-reliance to Globalisation, Sage Publications, New Delhi.

UNCTAD (2002), Trade and Development Report, United Nations, New York and Geneva.

Wadhva, C.D. (1988), "Some Aspects of India's Export Policy and Performance”, in R.E.B.Lucas and G.Papanek (eds.), The Indian Economy, Recent Developments and Future Prospects, Oxford University Press, Delhi.

Wilson, J.F. and W.E.Takacs (1979), "Differential Responses to Price and Exchange Rate Influences in the Foreign Trade of Selected Industrial Countries”, Review of Economics and Statistics, Vol. 69, No. 2, May, pp. 267-279.

Yang, Y.Y. and M.Hwang (1994), "Price Behaviour in Korean Manufacturing”, Review of Economics and Statistics, Vol. 76, No. 3, August, pp. 461-70.